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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players

Teams

All 48 teams by group. Each shows its title odds and chance to advance. Open a team for its full forecast, projected group finish and fixtures.

Champion % (gold) · advance-from-group (bar) · Updated 19 Jul 2026

Group A

MexicoHost<0.1%South Africa<0.1%Czech Republic<0.1%South Korea<0.1%

Group B

Bosnia and Herzegovina<0.1%CanadaHost<0.1%Switzerland<0.1%Qatar<0.1%

Group C

Brazil<0.1%Morocco<0.1%Haiti<0.1%Scotland<0.1%

Group D

Australia<0.1%Paraguay<0.1%United StatesHost<0.1%Turkey<0.1%

Group E

Ecuador<0.1%Germany<0.1%Ivory Coast<0.1%Curaçao<0.1%

Group F

Japan<0.1%Netherlands<0.1%Sweden<0.1%Tunisia<0.1%

Group G

Belgium<0.1%Egypt<0.1%Iran<0.1%New Zealand<0.1%

Group H

Spain>99.9%Cape Verde<0.1%Saudi Arabia<0.1%Uruguay<0.1%

Group I

France<0.1%Norway<0.1%Senegal<0.1%Iraq<0.1%

Group J

Algeria<0.1%Argentina<0.1%Austria<0.1%Jordan<0.1%

Group K

Colombia<0.1%DR Congo<0.1%Portugal<0.1%Uzbekistan<0.1%

Group L

Croatia<0.1%England<0.1%Ghana<0.1%Panama<0.1%