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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Egypt

Group GFIFA #29Elo 1801

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · conditioned on 104 result(s) · Updated 19 Jul 2026

Egypt
DWD
>99.9%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
Kickoffnow (104)
After last night
ESP>99.9%+49.7%
ARG<0.1%-49.7%
->->->->->->
Eliminatedout of title contention

Title odds

champion → group
Champion<0.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
  • Reach the final
    <0.1%
  • Reach the semi-finals
    <0.1%
  • Reach the quarter-finals
    <0.1%
  • Advance from the group
    >99.9%

Each figure is a stage-reach share. What these numbers mean

Group G

projected finish

Fixtures & results

group stage · model odds, final scores once played
Mon 15 Jun, 19:00 UTCMon 15 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 · Seattle
Belgium
———
Egypt1–1
BEL
EGY1–1

Key players

tracked squad
  • Ahmed Abou El Fotouhactuals only
  • Emam Ashouractuals only
  • Haissem Hassanactuals only
  • Hamdi Fathiactuals only
  • Hamza Abdelkarimactuals only
  • Hossam Abdelmaguidactuals only
  • Ibrahim Adelactuals only

Probabilistic odds, not predictions of certainty (conditioned on 104 result(s)). How the forecast is built. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Projected knockout path & head-to-head history: coming with the knockout draw and the national-team results corpus.

2
2nd place
single most-likely finish
>99%
qualify
  1. 1Belgium>99%
  2. 2Egypt>99%
  3. 3Iran<1%
  4. 4New Zealand<1%
Win group <1%Full Group G table ↗
Mon 22 Jun, 01:00 UTCSun 21 Jun, 18:00 GMT-7 · Vancouver
New Zealand
———
Egypt1–3
NZL
EGY1–3
Sat 27 Jun, 03:00 UTCFri 26 Jun, 20:00 GMT-7 · Seattle
Egypt
———
Iran1–1
EGY
IRN1–1

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

  • Karim Hafezactuals only
  • Mahmoud Saberactuals only
  • Marwan Ateyaactuals only
  • Mohamed Abdelmonemactuals only
  • Mohamed Hanyactuals only
  • Mohamed Salahactuals only
  • Mohanad Lasheenactuals only
  • Mostafa Ahmed ShobeirGKactuals only
  • Mostafa Zikoactuals only
  • Omar Marmoushactuals only
  • Rami Rabiaactuals only
  • Trezeguetactuals only
  • Yasser Ibrahimactuals only
  • Zizoactuals only
  • Projected headline output. Open a player for their full expected-vs-actual profile.