Argentina

Group JFIFA #3Elo 2144

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion9.6%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
15.7%
Reach the semi-finals
25.1%
Reach the quarter-finals
38.1%
Advance from the group
92.9%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group J

projected finish

1st place

single most-likely finish

93%

qualify

1Argentina93%
2Algeria65%
3Austria63%
4Jordan45%

Win group 59%Full Group J table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Wed 17 Jun, 01:00 UTCTue 16 Jun, 20:00 GMT-5 · Kansas City

Argentina

57%25%18%

AlgeriaxG 1.7–0.8Lean

ARG

ALG57%

Mon 22 Jun, 17:00 UTCMon 22 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 · Arlington

Argentina

57%26%17%

AustriaxG 1.6–0.8Lean

ARG

AUT57%

Sun 28 Jun, 02:00 UTCSat 27 Jun, 21:00 GMT-5 · Arlington

Jordan

13%22%66%

ArgentinaxG 0.7–1.9Strong pick

JOR

ARG66%

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Argentina's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.