Lionel Messi

Forward

ArgentinaCenter forwardInter Miami

Projections as of 19 Jul 2026, conditioned on 104 results

Forward output

actual / expected

Goals8 / 6.7 exp

Assists4 / 4.5 exp

Shots35 / 39.0 exp

Key passes25 / 27.9 exp

Goals trajectory

Expected Actual

Through 8 matches8 actual / 6.7 projected

Goal projection

open play + penalty

Expected goals6.7(3.4–10.0)

Open play6.6

Penalty0.1

Non-penalty xG5.4

Finishing factor1.22×

Finishing: historically out-finishes their xG (clinical). How the goal split works

Positional percentiles

vs other forwards

Where Lionel ranks among players of the same role on the baseline metrics (higher is better).

Prog passes100th

Prog carries98th

xA97th

Pass pct96th

Key passes95th

Shots87th

xG81th

Match log

8 played

Match	Min	G	Sh	KP	Source
Match 19	80	3	6	2	Auto · Fotmob
Match 43	90	2	7	2	Auto · Fotmob
Match 70	30	1	2	2	Auto · Fotmob
Match 86	120	1

Probabilistic projections. How projections are built

Baselines powered by StatsBomb · Live actuals: Auto · Fotmob · Run live__20260719T221057Z__cond104__seed42 · Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.