June 11 – July 19, 2026 · United States · Canada · Mexico
48 nations, 104 matches, only one nation to go back home with the cup.
Track the time to every stage of World Cup 2026.
Think you can beat the AI?
Make your picks→Time to Kick-off
LiveThe 2026 World Cup is the first with 48 teams and 104 matches, the largest in the tournament's history.
A calibrated, probabilistic AI forecast.
From day one, the model’s top two were the eventual finalists: Spain at 10.9%, Argentina at 9.6%. It called the exact Final.
The model's title pick.
Backtested on 2018 & 2022 · Updated 19 Jul 2026 · Final run, all 104 results in
Each point is a model forecast published during the tournament, conditioned on every result completed at that time; the line connects successive published forecasts (recalcs ran in batches, so some matches share a segment). The future, to the Final, is not yet forecast.
No upcoming matches scheduled.
June 11 – July 19, 2026 · United States · Canada · Mexico
48 nations, 104 matches, only one nation to go back home with the cup.
Track the time to every stage of World Cup 2026.
Think you can beat the AI?
Make your picks→Time to Kick-off
LiveThe 2026 World Cup is the first with 48 teams and 104 matches, the largest in the tournament's history.
A calibrated, probabilistic AI forecast.
The model's pre-tournament champion odds (before a ball was kicked), with how far each side actually went. Ordered by that pre-tournament number, not final placement.
Round-weighted points vs the actual bracket. Full comparison →
Make your bracket. Beat the AI.From day one, the model’s top two were the eventual finalists: Spain at 10.9%, Argentina at 9.6%. It called the exact Final.
The model's title pick.
Backtested on 2018 & 2022 · Updated 19 Jul 2026 · Final run, all 104 results in
The model's pre-tournament champion odds (before a ball was kicked), with how far each side actually went. Ordered by that pre-tournament number, not final placement.
Each point is a model forecast published during the tournament, conditioned on every result completed at that time; the line connects successive published forecasts (recalcs ran in batches, so some matches share a segment). The future, to the Final, is not yet forecast.
No upcoming matches scheduled.
Round-weighted points vs the actual bracket. Full comparison →
Make your bracket. Beat the AI.