Austria
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion0.9%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final2.1%
- Reach the semi-finals5.2%
- Reach the quarter-finals12.0%
- Advance from the group63.4%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group J
projected finish3
3rd place
single most-likely finish
63%
qualify
- 1Argentina93%
- 2Algeria65%
- 3Austria63%
- 4Jordan45%
Win group 16%Full Group J table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsTue 16 Jun, 21:00 GMT-7 · Santa Clara
Austria44%28%28%
AUTJOR44%
Mon 22 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 · Arlington
Argentina57%26%17%
ARGAUT57%
Sat 27 Jun, 21:00 GMT-5 · Kansas City
Algeria37%28%35%
ALGAUT37%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Austria's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.