WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group G · Match 40

New ZealandvsEgypt

your time · Sun 21 Jun, 18:00 GMT-7 at the venue

BC Place, Vancouver, Canada

Model prediction

win / draw / win
32.2% New Zealand29.9% draw38.0% Egypt

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.16

Rating

What's driving this: Egypt have a moderate rating edge (+76 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    New Zealand 1721.8 · Egypt 1798.2
    Egypt +76 · moderate
  • FIFA ranking
    New Zealand #85 · Egypt #29
  • Recent form
    New Zealand 6W-0D-0L · Egypt 3W-2D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
New Zealand
WWWWWW
Egypt
DLWWDW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.