PresairaWorld Cup 2026

Forecast Matches Groups Predict Players

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

Forecast
Matches
Groups
Predict
Players

Ivory Coast

Group EFIFA #34Elo 1776

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · conditioned on 104 result(s) · Updated 19 Jul 2026

Ivory Coast

WLW

After last night

ESP>99.9%+49.7%

ARG<0.1%-49.7%

Eliminatedout of title contention

Title odds

champion → group

Champion<0.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
<0.1%
Reach the semi-finals
<0.1%
Reach the quarter-finals
<0.1%
Advance from the group
>99.9%

Each figure is a stage-reach share. What these numbers mean

Group E

projected finish

Fixtures & results

group stage · model odds, final scores once played

Sun 14 Jun, 23:00 UTCSun 14 Jun, 19:00 GMT-4 · Philadelphia

Probabilistic odds, not predictions of certainty (conditioned on 104 result(s)). How the forecast is built. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Projected knockout path & head-to-head history: coming with the knockout draw and the national-team results corpus.

2

2nd place

single most-likely finish

>99%

qualify

1Germany>99%
2Ivory Coast>99%
3Ecuador>99%
4Curaçao<1%

Win group <1%Full Group E table ↗

0

Sat 20 Jun, 20:00 UTCSat 20 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · Toronto

Ivory Coast2–1

Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTCThu 25 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · Philadelphia

Ivory Coast0–2

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.