WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group E · Match 9

Ivory CoastvsEcuador

your time · Sun 14 Jun, 19:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
28.6% Ivory Coast32.6% draw38.8% Ecuador

Expected goals 0.85 – 1.04

Rating

What's driving this: Ecuador have a moderate rating edge (+128 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Ivory Coast 1791.2 · Ecuador 1918.7
    Ecuador +128 · moderate
  • FIFA ranking
    Ivory Coast #34 · Ecuador #23
  • Recent form
    Ivory Coast 4W-1D-1L · Ecuador 2W-4D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Ivory Coast
LWWDWW
Ecuador
WDDDDW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.