Germany

Group EFIFA #10Elo 1971

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion4.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
7.9%
Reach the semi-finals
15.5%
Reach the quarter-finals
27.6%
Advance from the group
89.2%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group E

projected finish

1st place

single most-likely finish

89%

qualify

1Germany89%
2Ecuador78%
3Ivory Coast68%
4Curaçao33%

Win group 48%Full Group E table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Sun 14 Jun, 17:00 UTCSun 14 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 · Houston

Germany

69%19%13%

CuraçaoxG 2.3–0.9Strong pick

GER

CUW69%

Sat 20 Jun, 20:00 UTCSat 20 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · Toronto

Germany

50%25%24%

Ivory CoastxG 1.6–1.0Lean

GER

CIV50%

Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTCThu 25 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · East Rutherford

Ecuador

29%28%43%

GermanyxG 1.1–1.3Lean

ECU

GER43%

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Germany's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.