WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group E · Match 56

EcuadorvsGermany

your time · Thu 25 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
29.0% Ecuador28.2% draw42.8% Germany

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.33

Rating

What's driving this: Germany have a slight rating edge (+59 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Ecuador 1918.7 · Germany 1977.2
    Germany +59 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    Ecuador #23 · Germany #10
  • Recent form
    Ecuador 2W-4D-0L · Germany 5W-0D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Ecuador
WDDDDW
Germany
WWWWWL

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.