Czech Republic

Group AFIFA #41Elo 1752

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion0.4%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
1.2%
Reach the semi-finals
3.5%
Reach the quarter-finals
9.8%
Advance from the group
55.7%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group A

projected finish

3rd place

single most-likely finish

56%

qualify

1Mexico93%
2South Korea72%
3Czech Republic56%
4South Africa44%

Win group 12%Full Group A table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Fri 12 Jun, 02:00 UTCThu 11 Jun, 20:00 GMT-6 · Zapopan

South Korea

41%32%27%

Czech RepublicxG 1.1–0.8Lean

KOR

CZE41%

Thu 18 Jun, 16:00 UTCThu 18 Jun, 12:00 GMT-4 · Atlanta

Czech Republic

41%30%29%

South AfricaxG 1.2–1.0Lean

CZE

RSA41%

Thu 25 Jun, 01:00 UTCWed 24 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 · Mexico City

Czech Republic

13%24%63%

MexicoxG 0.6–1.7Strong pick

CZE

MEX63%

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Czech Republic's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.