WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group A · Match 53

Czech RepublicvsMexico

your time · Wed 24 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico

Model prediction

win / draw / win
13.4% Czech Republic24.1% draw62.5% Mexico

Expected goals 0.64 – 1.70

Rating

What's driving this: Mexico hold a decisive rating edge — +158 Elo over Czech Republic.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Czech Republic 1760.2 · Mexico 1918.1
    Mexico +158 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Czech Republic #41 · Mexico #15
  • Host advantage
    Mexico playing on home soil
    +0.20 goal rate
  • Altitude
    Czech Republic concede ~2.2 km in Mexico City
    -0.38 goal rate
  • Recent form
    Czech Republic 2W-3D-1L · Mexico 5W-1D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Czech Republic
DDWLDW
Mexico
WWWDWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.