South Korea

Group AFIFA #25Elo 1870

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion1.4%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
3.3%
Reach the semi-finals
7.7%
Reach the quarter-finals
17.3%
Advance from the group
71.9%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group A

projected finish

2nd place

single most-likely finish

72%

qualify

1Mexico93%
2South Korea72%
3Czech Republic56%
4South Africa44%

Win group 21%Full Group A table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Fri 12 Jun, 02:00 UTCThu 11 Jun, 20:00 GMT-6 · Zapopan

South Korea

41%32%27%

Czech RepublicxG 1.1–0.8Lean

KOR

CZE41%

Fri 19 Jun, 01:00 UTCThu 18 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 · Zapopan

Mexico

52%27%20%

South KoreaxG 1.5–0.8Lean

MEX

KOR52%

Thu 25 Jun, 01:00 UTCWed 24 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 · Guadalupe

South Africa

23%29%47%

South KoreaxG 0.8–1.3Lean

RSA

KOR47%

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. South Korea's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.