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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group A · Match 28

MexicovsSouth Korea

1 – 0Full time

Fri 19 Jun, 01:00 UTC your time · Thu 18 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio Akron, Zapopan, Mexico

Final result

full time
Mexico1 – 0South Korea

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Mexico
  • Luis Romogoal
South Korea

none

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    14.4%
  • 1-1
    12.6%
  • 2-0
    11.0%
  • 0-0
    10.4%
  • 2-1
    9.0%
  • 0-1
    7.8%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 36%Possession64%
  • 5Shots7
  • 3On target2
  • 0Corners2
  • 5Fouls3
  • 1Offsides2

Head to head

historical meetings
8 Mexico3 draw3 South Korea

14 meetings · goals 28–15

  • 2025-09-09friendly2–2draw
  • 2020-11-14friendly3–2Mexico
  • 2018-06-23wc finals2–1Mexico
  • 2014-01-29friendly4–0Mexico
  • 2006-02-15friendly0–1South Korea
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.