WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group A · Match 54

South AfricavsSouth Korea

your time · Wed 24 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe, Mexico

Model prediction

win / draw / win
23.4% South Africa29.1% draw47.5% South Korea

Expected goals 0.84 – 1.32

Rating

What's driving this: South Korea hold a decisive rating edge — +234 Elo over South Africa.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    South Africa 1637.5 · South Korea 1871.9
    South Korea +234 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    South Africa #60 · South Korea #25
  • Recent form
    South Africa 3W-1D-2L · South Korea 3W-3D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
South Africa
LWLWWD
South Korea
WWDDDW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.