Ghana
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion0.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final0.4%
- Reach the semi-finals1.2%
- Reach the quarter-finals3.9%
- Advance from the group38.9%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group L
projected finish4
4th place
single most-likely finish
39%
qualify
- 1England90%
- 2Croatia79%
- 3Panama60%
- 4Ghana39%
Win group 7%Full Group L table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsWed 17 Jun, 19:00 GMT-4 · Toronto
Ghana27%28%45%
GHAPAN45%
Tue 23 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough
England64%23%13%
ENGGHA64%
Sat 27 Jun, 17:00 GMT-4 · Philadelphia
Croatia55%26%19%
CROGHA55%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Ghana's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.