Brazil
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion7.0%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final12.4%
- Reach the semi-finals21.6%
- Reach the quarter-finals35.6%
- Advance from the group91.5%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group C
projected finish1
1st place
single most-likely finish
92%
qualify
- 1Brazil92%
- 2Morocco81%
- 3Scotland54%
- 4Haiti40%
Win group 52%Full Group C table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsSat 13 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · East Rutherford
Brazil41%31%27%
BRAMAR41%
Fri 19 Jun, 20:30 GMT-4 · Philadelphia
Brazil69%19%13%
BRAHAI69%
Wed 24 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Miami Gardens
Scotland17%24%59%
SCOBRA59%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Brazil's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.