PresairaWorld Cup 2026

Forecast Matches Groups Predict Players

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

Forecast
Matches
Groups
Predict
Players

Morocco

Group CFIFA #8Elo 1949

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · conditioned on 104 result(s) · Updated 19 Jul 2026

Morocco

WWD

After last night

ESP>99.9%+49.7%

ARG<0.1%-49.7%

The gauntlet

Champ<0.1%

QF -> SF<0.1%

Title odds

champion → group

Champion<0.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
<0.1%
Reach the semi-finals
<0.1%
Reach the quarter-finals
>99.9%
Advance from the group
>99.9%

Each figure is a stage-reach share. What these numbers mean

Group C

projected finish

Fixtures & results

group stage · model odds, final scores once played

Sat 13 Jun, 22:00 UTCSat 13 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · East Rutherford

Key players

tracked squad

Yassine BounouGK4.1 clean sheets
Youssef En-NesyriFW1.3 goals
Brahim DíazFW0.4 goals
Sofyan AmrabatMF0.2 assists
Achraf HakimiDFactuals only

Probabilistic odds, not predictions of certainty (conditioned on 104 result(s)). How the forecast is built. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Projected knockout path & head-to-head history: coming with the knockout draw and the national-team results corpus.

2

2nd place

single most-likely finish

>99%

qualify

1Brazil>99%
2Morocco>99%
3Scotland<1%
4Haiti<1%

Win group <1%Full Group C table ↗

1

Fri 19 Jun, 22:00 UTCFri 19 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough

Wed 24 Jun, 22:00 UTCWed 24 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Atlanta

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

Amine Sbaïactuals only

Anass Salah-Eddineactuals only

Ayoub El Kaabiactuals only

Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyabactuals only

Ayyoub Bouaddiactuals only

Azzedine Ounahiactuals only

Bilal El Khannoussactuals only

Chadi Riadactuals only

Chemsdine Talbiactuals only

Gessime Yassineactuals only

Ismael Saibariactuals only

Issa Diopactuals only

Marwane Saadaneactuals only

Neil El Aynaouiactuals only

Noussair Mazraouiactuals only

Redouane Halhalactuals only

Samir El Mourabetactuals only

Soufiane Rahimiactuals only

Zakaria El Ouahdiactuals only

Projected headline output. Open a player for their full expected-vs-actual profile.