Morocco

Group CFIFA #8Elo 1949

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion3.0%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
6.2%
Reach the semi-finals
12.4%
Reach the quarter-finals
23.5%
Advance from the group
81.0%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group C

projected finish

2nd place

single most-likely finish

81%

qualify

1Brazil92%
2Morocco81%
3Scotland54%
4Haiti40%

Win group 29%Full Group C table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Sat 13 Jun, 22:00 UTCSat 13 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · East Rutherford

Brazil

41%31%27%

MoroccoxG 1.1–0.9Lean

BRA

MAR41%

Fri 19 Jun, 22:00 UTCFri 19 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough

Scotland

22%31%48%

MoroccoxG 0.7–1.2Lean

SCO

MAR48%

Wed 24 Jun, 22:00 UTCWed 24 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Atlanta

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Morocco's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.