Scotland
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion0.4%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final1.2%
- Reach the semi-finals3.3%
- Reach the quarter-finals8.5%
- Advance from the group54.1%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group C
projected finish3
3rd place
single most-likely finish
54%
qualify
- 1Brazil92%
- 2Morocco81%
- 3Scotland54%
- 4Haiti40%
Win group 11%Full Group C table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsSat 13 Jun, 21:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough
Haiti32%26%42%
HAISCO42%
Fri 19 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough
Scotland22%31%48%
SCOMAR48%
Wed 24 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Miami Gardens
Scotland17%24%59%
SCOBRA59%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Scotland's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.