Turkey
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion1.0%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final2.5%
- Reach the semi-finals6.0%
- Reach the quarter-finals14.2%
- Advance from the group64.6%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group D
projected finish4
4th place
single most-likely finish
65%
qualify
- 1United States78%
- 2Australia70%
- 3Paraguay59%
- 4Turkey65%
Win group 22%Full Group D table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsSat 13 Jun, 21:00 GMT-7 · Vancouver
Australia39%27%34%
AUSTUR39%
Fri 19 Jun, 20:00 GMT-7 · Santa Clara
Turkey38%30%32%
TURPAR38%
Thu 25 Jun, 19:00 GMT-7 · Inglewood
Turkey30%25%45%
TURUSA45%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Turkey's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.