WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group D · Match 59

TurkeyvsUnited States

your time · Thu 25 Jun, 19:00 GMT-7 at the venue

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
30.2% Turkey25.0% draw44.7% United States

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.62

Host

What's driving this: United States play at home as World Cup hosts.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Turkey 1886.3 · United States 1825.2
    Turkey +61 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    Turkey #22 · United States #16
  • Host advantage
    United States playing on home soil
    +0.20 goal rate
  • Recent form
    Turkey 5W-1D-0L · United States 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Turkey
WWDWWW
United States
LWDWWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.