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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group D · Match 59

TurkeyvsUnited States

3 – 2Full time

Fri 26 Jun, 02:00 UTC your time · Thu 25 Jun, 19:00 GMT-7 at the venue

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, United States

Final result

full time
Turkey3 – 2United States

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Turkey
  • Arda Gülergoal
  • Baris Alper Yilmazgoal
  • Kaan Ayhangoal
United States
  • Auston Trustygoal
  • Sebastian Berhaltergoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    11.7%
  • 1-2
    9.2%
  • 0-1
    8.4%
  • 2-1
    7.4%
  • 0-2
    7.1%
  • 1-0
    6.7%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 4Shots10
  • 1On target3
  • 0Corners4
  • 6Fouls5
  • 1Offsides3

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Turkey1 draw2 United States

5 meetings · goals 7–7

  • 2025-06-07friendly2–1Turkey
  • 2014-06-01friendly1–2United States
  • 2010-05-29friendly1–2United States
  • 2003-06-19confederations cup2–1Turkey
  • 1991-09-04friendly1–1draw
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.