WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group D · Match 31

TurkeyvsParaguay

your time · Fri 19 Jun, 20:00 GMT-7 at the venue

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
37.8% Turkey29.9% draw32.3% Paraguay

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.04

Rating

What's driving this: Turkey have a slight rating edge (+44 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Turkey 1886.3 · Paraguay 1842.8
    Turkey +44 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    Turkey #22 · Paraguay #40
  • Recent form
    Turkey 5W-1D-0L · Paraguay 3W-2D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Turkey
WWDWWW
Paraguay
WDLWDW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.