Paraguay

Group DFIFA #40Elo 1841

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion0.7%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
1.9%
Reach the semi-finals
4.7%
Reach the quarter-finals
11.6%
Advance from the group
59.1%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group D

projected finish

3rd place

single most-likely finish

59%

qualify

1United States78%
2Australia70%
3Paraguay59%
4Turkey65%

Win group 17%Full Group D table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Sat 13 Jun, 01:00 UTCFri 12 Jun, 18:00 GMT-7 · Inglewood

United States

44%29%27%

ParaguayxG 1.3–0.9Lean

USA

PAR44%

Sat 20 Jun, 03:00 UTCFri 19 Jun, 20:00 GMT-7 · Santa Clara

Turkey

38%30%32%

ParaguayxG 1.2–1.0Lean

TUR

PAR38%

Fri 26 Jun, 02:00 UTCThu 25 Jun, 19:00 GMT-7 · Santa Clara

Paraguay

29%32%39%

AustraliaxG 0.9–1.1Lean

PAR

AUS39%

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Paraguay's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.