WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group D · Match 60

ParaguayvsAustralia

your time · Thu 25 Jun, 19:00 GMT-7 at the venue

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
29.5% Paraguay31.8% draw38.8% Australia

Expected goals 0.90 – 1.08

Even

What's driving this: The model rates these sides near-level — closer to a coin-flip.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Paraguay 1842.8 · Australia 1858.4
    Australia +16 · negligible
  • FIFA ranking
    Paraguay #40 · Australia #27
  • Recent form
    Paraguay 3W-2D-1L · Australia 4W-2D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Paraguay
WDLWDW
Australia
WWWWDD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.