Saudi Arabia

Group HFIFA #61Elo 1678

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026

Title odds

champion → group

Champion0.3%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
0.8%
Reach the semi-finals
2.2%
Reach the quarter-finals
6.2%
Advance from the group
47.6%

Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.

Group H

projected finish

3rd place

single most-likely finish

48%

qualify

1Spain94%
2Uruguay81%
3Saudi Arabia48%
4Cape Verde38%

Win group 8%Full Group H table ↗

Fixtures

group stage · model odds

Mon 15 Jun, 22:00 UTCMon 15 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Miami Gardens

Saudi Arabia

20%31%49%

UruguayxG 0.6–1.2Lean

KSA

URU49%

Sun 21 Jun, 16:00 UTCSun 21 Jun, 12:00 GMT-4 · Atlanta

Spain

66%22%11%

Saudi ArabiaxG 1.8–0.6Strong pick

ESP

KSA66%

Sat 27 Jun, 00:00 UTCFri 26 Jun, 19:00 GMT-5 · Houston

Cape Verde

29%34%37%

Saudi ArabiaxG 0.8–1.0Lean

CPV

KSA37%

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Saudi Arabia's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.