WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group H · Match 13

Saudi ArabiavsUruguay

your time · Mon 15 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
19.6% Saudi Arabia31.3% draw49.2% Uruguay

Expected goals 0.65 – 1.21

Rating

What's driving this: Uruguay hold a decisive rating edge — +265 Elo over Saudi Arabia.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Saudi Arabia 1681.2 · Uruguay 1946.5
    Uruguay +265 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Saudi Arabia #61 · Uruguay #17
  • Recent form
    Saudi Arabia 2W-2D-2L · Uruguay 2W-2D-2L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Saudi Arabia
DWLDLW
Uruguay
DWWLDL

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.