WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group H · Match 38

SpainvsSaudi Arabia

your time · Sun 21 Jun, 12:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
66.1% Spain22.5% draw11.4% Saudi Arabia

Expected goals 1.80 – 0.60

Rating

What's driving this: Spain hold a decisive rating edge — +475 Elo over Saudi Arabia.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Spain 2156.1 · Saudi Arabia 1681.2
    Spain +475 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Spain #2 · Saudi Arabia #61
  • Recent form
    Spain 5W-1D-0L · Saudi Arabia 2W-2D-2L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Spain
DWWWWW
Saudi Arabia
DWLDLW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.