Norway
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion1.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final2.7%
- Reach the semi-finals6.7%
- Reach the quarter-finals14.6%
- Advance from the group65.3%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group I
projected finish4
4th place
single most-likely finish
65%
qualify
- 1France88%
- 2Senegal70%
- 3Iraq45%
- 4Norway65%
Win group 20%Full Group I table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsTue 16 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough
Iraq26%29%44%
IRQNOR44%
Mon 22 Jun, 20:00 GMT-4 · East Rutherford
Norway33%28%38%
NORSEN38%
Fri 26 Jun, 15:00 GMT-4 · Foxborough
Norway23%25%52%
NORFRA52%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Norway's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.