Erling Haaland

Forward

NorwayCenter forwardMan City

Projections as of 19 Jul 2026, conditioned on 104 results

Forward output

actual / expected

Goals7 / 5.4 exp

Assists0 / 0.5 exp

Shots20 / 25.3 exp

Key passes6 / 7.2 exp

Goals trajectory

Expected Actual

Through 5 matches7 actual / 5.4 projected

Goal projection

open play + penalty

Expected goals5.4(2.6–8.3)

Open play5.0

Penalty0.4

Non-penalty xG4.6

Finishing factor1.09×

Finishing: historically out-finishes their xG (clinical). How the goal split works

Positional percentiles

vs other forwards

Where Erling ranks among players of the same role on the baseline metrics (higher is better).

xG98th

Shots88th

xA12th

Pass pct6th

Key passes2th

Match log

5 played

Match	Min	G	Sh	KP	Source
Match 18	90	2	5	1	Auto · Fotmob
Match 41	90	2	5	2	Auto · Fotmob
Match 78	90	1	4	1	Auto · Fotmob
Match 91	90	2

Probabilistic projections. How projections are built

Baselines powered by StatsBomb · Live actuals: Auto · Fotmob · Run live__20260719T221057Z__cond104__seed42 · Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.