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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group I · Match 41

NorwayvsSenegal

3 – 2Full time

Tue 23 Jun, 00:00 UTC your time · Mon 22 Jun, 20:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Final result

full time
Norway3 – 2Senegal

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Norway
  • Erling Haaland2 goals
  • Marcus Holmgren Pedersengoal
Senegal
  • Ismaïla Sarr2 goals

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    13.4%
  • 0-1
    10.8%
  • 1-0
    9.9%
  • 0-0
    9.3%
  • 1-2
    8.2%
  • 2-1
    7.5%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 32%Possession68%
  • 5Shots10
  • 3On target3
  • 1Corners3
  • 7Fouls4
  • 0Offsides2

Head to head

historical meetings
0 Norway0 draw1 Senegal

1 meetings · goals 1–2

  • 2006-03-01friendly1–2Senegal
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.