WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group I · Match 41

NorwayvsSenegal

your time · Mon 22 Jun, 20:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
33.3% Norway28.3% draw38.5% Senegal

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.27

Rating

What's driving this: Senegal have a slight rating edge (+30 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Norway 1872.2 · Senegal 1902.5
    Senegal +30 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    Norway #31 · Senegal #14
  • Recent form
    Norway 6W-0D-0L · Senegal 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Norway
WWWWWW
Senegal
LWWWWD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.