Qatar
Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · pre-tournament · Updated 10 Jun 2026
Title odds
champion → groupChampion0.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy
- Reach the final0.4%
- Reach the semi-finals1.4%
- Reach the quarter-finals5.0%
- Advance from the group46.8%
Each figure is the share of Monte-Carlo simulations in which the team reaches that stage — champion, finalist, semi-finalist, quarter-finalist and group qualification.
Group B
projected finish3
3rd place
single most-likely finish
47%
qualify
- 1Canada89%
- 2Switzerland85%
- 3Qatar47%
- 4Bosnia and Herzegovina45%
Win group 9%Full Group B table ↗
Fixtures
group stage · model oddsSat 13 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 · Santa Clara
Qatar19%23%58%
QATSUI58%
Thu 18 Jun, 15:00 GMT-7 · Vancouver
Canada63%20%17%
CANQAT63%
Wed 24 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 · Seattle
Bosnia and Herzegovina35%28%37%
BIHQAT37%
Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.
These are probabilistic odds from a calibrated Monte-Carlo model — not predictions of certainty. Qatar's title odds reflect the full bracket simulated tens of thousands of times (pre-tournament); they shift as results are entered and the model re-runs. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.
Squad & lineups — coming in V1.1.