WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group B · Match 27

CanadavsQatar

your time · Thu 18 Jun, 15:00 GMT-7 at the venue

BC Place, Vancouver, Canada

Model prediction

win / draw / win
62.8% Canada20.5% draw16.7% Qatar

Expected goals 2.15 – 1.02

Rating

What's driving this: Canada hold a decisive rating edge — +227 Elo over Qatar.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Canada 1848.6 · Qatar 1621.6
    Canada +227 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Canada #30 · Qatar #55
  • Host advantage
    Canada playing on home soil
    +0.20 goal rate
  • Recent form
    Canada 3W-2D-1L · Qatar 3W-1D-2L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Canada
DWDWWL
Qatar
WDLWLW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.