PresairaWorld Cup 2026

Forecast Matches Groups Predict Players

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

Forecast
Matches
Groups
Predict
Players

← All matchdays

Thursday 25 June

Recap

6 matches · Group stage

← Wednesday 24 June Friday 26 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Upset: South Africa beat South Korea 1-0. The model had South Africa at just 23%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run

Czech Republic0–3MexicoCalled itMexico 62.5%
South Africa1–0South KoreaMissedhad South Korea at 47.5%
Curaçao0–2Ivory CoastCalled itIvory Coast 50.3%
Ecuador2–1GermanyMissedhad Germany at 42.8%
Japan1–1SwedenMissedhad Japan at 52.5%
Tunisia1–3NetherlandsCalled itNetherlands 52.5%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points

Risers

Spain+88.5 pts

Fallers

Argentina−11.2 pts
France−7.3 pts
Brazil−6.8 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Friday 26 June

Turkey vs United Statesodds pending
Paraguay vs Australiaodds pending
Norway vs Franceodds pending
Senegal vs Iraqodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone

Thu 25 Jun, 01:00 UTC· Mexico CityFinalGroup A

0–3

Thu 25 Jun, 01:00 UTC· GuadalupeFinal

Group A

South Africa

1–0

South Korea

RSA

1–0

KORFT

Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTC· PhiladelphiaFinalGroup E

0–2

Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTC· East RutherfordFinalGroup E

2–1

Thu 25 Jun, 23:00 UTC· ArlingtonFinalGroup F

1–1

Thu 25 Jun, 23:00 UTC· Kansas CityFinalGroup F

1–3