WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group F · Match 57

JapanvsSweden

your time · Thu 25 Jun, 18:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
52.5% Japan24.9% draw22.6% Sweden

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.02

Rating

What's driving this: Japan hold a decisive rating edge — +204 Elo over Sweden.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Japan 1949.2 · Sweden 1745.4
    Japan +204 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Japan #18 · Sweden #38
  • Recent form
    Japan 4W-1D-1L · Sweden 2W-1D-3L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Japan
WLDWWW
Sweden
WWDLLL

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.