WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group I · Match 62

SenegalvsIraq

your time · Fri 26 Jun, 15:00 GMT-4 at the venue

BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Model prediction

win / draw / win
44.6% Senegal31.6% draw23.8% Iraq

Expected goals 1.15 – 0.76

Rating

What's driving this: Senegal hold a decisive rating edge — +160 Elo over Iraq.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Senegal 1902.5 · Iraq 1742.6
    Senegal +160 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Senegal #14 · Iraq #57
  • Recent form
    Senegal 4W-1D-1L · Iraq 4W-2D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Senegal
LWWWWD
Iraq
WWDDWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.