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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group F · Match 58

TunisiavsNetherlands

1 – 3Full time

Thu 25 Jun, 23:00 UTC your time · Thu 25 Jun, 18:00 GMT-5 at the venue

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, United States

Final result

full time
Tunisia1 – 3Netherlands

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Tunisia
  • Hazem Mastourigoal
Netherlands
  • Brian Brobbeygoal
  • Jan Paul van Heckegoal
  • Ellyes SkhiriOG

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-1
    14.5%
  • 1-1
    12.5%
  • 0-2
    11.0%
  • 0-0
    10.4%
  • 1-2
    9.0%
  • 1-0
    7.8%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 27%Possession73%
  • 6Shots8
  • 3On target4
  • 3Corners3
  • 6Fouls6
  • 1Offsides1

Head to head

historical meetings
0 Tunisia2 draw1 Netherlands

3 meetings · goals 3–7

  • 2009-02-11friendly1–1draw
  • 1994-01-19friendly2–2draw
  • 1978-04-05friendly0–4Netherlands
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.