WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group F · Match 58

TunisiavsNetherlands

your time · Thu 25 Jun, 18:00 GMT-5 at the venue

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
20.3% Tunisia27.1% draw52.5% Netherlands

Expected goals 0.82 – 1.48

Rating

What's driving this: Netherlands hold a decisive rating edge — +258 Elo over Tunisia.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Tunisia 1728.6 · Netherlands 1986.5
    Netherlands +258 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Tunisia #44 · Netherlands #7
  • Recent form
    Tunisia 3W-2D-1L · Netherlands 4W-2D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Tunisia
DDLWWW
Netherlands
WDWWWD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.