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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Monday 22 June

Recap

3 matches · Group stage

← Sunday 21 JuneTuesday 23 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Egypt beat New Zealand 3-1, a win the model had at 38%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • New Zealand1–3EgyptCalled itEgypt 38.0%
  • Argentina2–0AustriaCalled itArgentina 57.0%
  • France3–0IraqCalled itFrance 57.4%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+88.4 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−10.9 pts
  • France−7.1 pts
  • Brazil−6.9 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Tuesday 23 June
  • Norway vs Senegalodds pending
  • Jordan vs Algeriaodds pending
  • Portugal vs Uzbekistanodds pending
  • England vs Ghanaodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Mon 22 Jun, 01:00 UTC· VancouverFinalGroup G
New Zealand

1–3

Egypt
NZL
1–3
EGYFT
Mon 22 Jun, 17:00 UTC· ArlingtonFinal
Panama vs Croatia
odds pending
Group J
Argentina

2–0

Austria
ARG
2–0
AUTFT
Mon 22 Jun, 21:00 UTC· PhiladelphiaFinalGroup I
France

3–0

Iraq
FRA
3–0
IRQFT