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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Tuesday 23 June

Recap

5 matches · Group stage

← Monday 22 JuneWednesday 24 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

England and Ghana drew 0-0. The model gave the draw 23%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Norway3–2SenegalMissedhad Senegal at 38.5%
  • Jordan1–2AlgeriaCalled itAlgeria 46.1%
  • Portugal5–0UzbekistanCalled itPortugal 51.7%
  • England0–0GhanaMissedhad England at 63.6%
  • Panama0–1CroatiaCalled itCroatia 46.8%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+89.0 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−11.0 pts
  • France−7.7 pts
  • Brazil−6.7 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Wednesday 24 June
  • Colombia vs DR Congoodds pending
  • Switzerland vs Canadaodds pending
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatarodds pending
  • Scotland vs Brazilodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Tue 23 Jun, 00:00 UTC· East RutherfordFinalGroup I
Norway

3–2

Senegal
NOR
3–2
SENFT
Tue 23 Jun, 03:00 UTC· Santa ClaraFinal
Morocco vs Haiti
odds pending
Group J
Jordan

1–2

Algeria
JOR
1–2
ALGFT
Tue 23 Jun, 17:00 UTC· HoustonFinalGroup K
Portugal

5–0

Uzbekistan
POR
5–0
UZBFT
Tue 23 Jun, 20:00 UTC· FoxboroughFinalGroup L
England

0–0

Ghana
ENG
0–0
GHAFT
Tue 23 Jun, 23:00 UTC· TorontoFinalGroup L
Panama

0–1

Croatia
PAN
0–1
CROFT