WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group L · Match 46

PanamavsCroatia

your time · Tue 23 Jun, 19:00 GMT-4 at the venue

BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Model prediction

win / draw / win
26.4% Panama26.8% draw46.8% Croatia

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.49

Rating

What's driving this: Croatia have a moderate rating edge (+120 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Panama 1822.1 · Croatia 1942.3
    Croatia +120 · moderate
  • FIFA ranking
    Panama #33 · Croatia #11
  • Recent form
    Panama 3W-3D-0L · Croatia 5W-1D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Panama
WWDWDD
Croatia
WWWDWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.