WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group K · Match 47

PortugalvsUzbekistan

your time · Tue 23 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 at the venue

NRG Stadium, Houston, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
51.7% Portugal27.2% draw21.1% Uzbekistan

Expected goals 1.48 – 0.85

Rating

What's driving this: Portugal hold a decisive rating edge — +214 Elo over Uzbekistan.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Portugal 1989.2 · Uzbekistan 1775.2
    Portugal +214 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Portugal #5 · Uzbekistan #50
  • Recent form
    Portugal 4W-1D-1L · Uzbekistan 3W-2D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Portugal
WLDWWW
Uzbekistan
WDDWWL

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.