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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Friday 19 June

Recap

3 matches · Group stage

← Thursday 18 JuneSaturday 20 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Mexico beat South Korea 1-0, a win the model had at 52%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Mexico1–0South KoreaCalled itMexico 52.4%
  • United States2–0AustraliaCalled itUnited States 40.9%
  • Scotland0–1MoroccoCalled itMorocco 47.6%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+89.8 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−10.3 pts
  • France−7.3 pts
  • Brazil−6.9 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Saturday 20 June
  • Brazil vs Haitiodds pending
  • Turkey vs Paraguayodds pending
  • Netherlands vs Swedenodds pending
  • Germany vs Ivory Coastodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Fri 19 Jun, 01:00 UTC· ZapopanFinalGroup A
Mexico

1–0

South Korea
MEX
1–0
KORFT
Fri 19 Jun, 19:00 UTC· SeattleFinal
Group D
United States

2–0

Australia
USA
2–0
AUSFT
Fri 19 Jun, 22:00 UTC· FoxboroughFinalGroup C
Scotland

0–1

Morocco
SCO
0–1
MARFT