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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
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Group stage · Group D · Match 32

United StatesvsAustralia

2 – 0Full time

Fri 19 Jun, 19:00 UTC your time · Fri 19 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 at the venue

Lumen Field, Seattle, United States

Final result

full time
United States2 – 0Australia

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
United States
  • Alex Freemangoal
  • Cameron BurgessOG
Australia

none

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.8%
  • 1-0
    9.9%
  • 2-1
    8.7%
  • 0-1
    8.5%
  • 0-0
    7.7%
  • 1-2
    7.5%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1Shots3
  • 0On target1
  • 4Corners2
  • 4Fouls8
  • 1Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
2 United States1 draw1 Australia

4 meetings · goals 5–3

  • 2025-10-14friendly2–1United States
  • 2010-06-05friendly3–1United States
  • 1998-11-06friendly0–0draw
  • 1992-06-13friendly0–1Australia
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.