WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group D · Match 32

United StatesvsAustralia

your time · Fri 19 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 at the venue

Lumen Field, Seattle, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
40.9% United States27.0% draw32.1% Australia

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.21

Host

What's driving this: United States play at home as World Cup hosts.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    United States 1825.2 · Australia 1858.4
    Australia +33 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    United States #16 · Australia #27
  • Host advantage
    United States playing on home soil
    +0.20 goal rate
  • Recent form
    United States 4W-1D-1L · Australia 4W-2D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
United States
LWDWWW
Australia
WWWWDD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.