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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Thursday 18 June

Recap

4 matches · Group stage

← Wednesday 17 JuneFriday 19 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Czech Republic and South Africa drew 1-1. The model gave the draw 30%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Uzbekistan1–3ColombiaCalled itColombia 54.2%
  • Czech Republic1–1South AfricaMissedhad Czech Republic at 41.1%
  • Switzerland4–1Bosnia and HerzegovinaCalled itSwitzerland 56.3%
  • Canada6–0QatarCalled itCanada 62.8%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+90.2 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−10.4 pts
  • France−7.3 pts
  • Brazil−6.9 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Friday 19 June
  • Mexico vs South Koreaodds pending
  • United States vs Australiaodds pending
  • Scotland vs Moroccoodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Thu 18 Jun, 02:00 UTC· Mexico CityFinalGroup K
Uzbekistan

1–3

Colombia
UZB
1–3
COLFT
Thu 18 Jun, 16:00 UTC· AtlantaFinal
Group A
Czech Republic

1–1

South Africa
CZE
1–1
RSAFT
Thu 18 Jun, 19:00 UTC· InglewoodFinalGroup B
Switzerland

4–1

Bosnia and Herzegovina
SUI
4–1
BIHFT
Thu 18 Jun, 22:00 UTC· VancouverFinalGroup B
Canada

6–0

Qatar
CAN
6–0
QATFT