WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group K · Match 24

UzbekistanvsColombia

your time · Wed 17 Jun, 20:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico

Model prediction

win / draw / win
15.4% Uzbekistan30.5% draw54.2% Colombia

Expected goals 0.53 – 1.26

Rating

What's driving this: Colombia hold a decisive rating edge — +211 Elo over Uzbekistan.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Uzbekistan 1775.2 · Colombia 1985.9
    Colombia +211 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Uzbekistan #50 · Colombia #13
  • Altitude
    Uzbekistan concede ~2.2 km in Mexico City
    -0.38 goal rate
  • Recent form
    Uzbekistan 3W-2D-1L · Colombia 2W-3D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Uzbekistan
WDDWWL
Colombia
WWDDDL

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.