WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group F · Match 35

NetherlandsvsSweden

your time · Sat 20 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 at the venue

NRG Stadium, Houston, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
55.6% Netherlands23.4% draw21.1% Sweden

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.05

Rating

What's driving this: Netherlands hold a decisive rating edge — +241 Elo over Sweden.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Netherlands 1986.5 · Sweden 1745.4
    Netherlands +241 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Netherlands #7 · Sweden #38
  • Recent form
    Netherlands 4W-2D-0L · Sweden 2W-1D-3L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Netherlands
WDWWWD
Sweden
WWDLLL

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.