PresairaPresairaWorld Cup 2026
ForecastMatchesGroupsPredictPlayers

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Tuesday 16 June

Recap

3 matches · Group stage

← Monday 15 JuneWednesday 17 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Iran and New Zealand drew 2-2. The model gave the draw 26%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Iran2–2New ZealandMissedhad Iran at 46.6%
  • France3–1SenegalCalled itFrance 46.9%
  • Iraq1–4NorwayCalled itNorway 44.2%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+88.3 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−10.0 pts
  • England−7.0 pts
  • Brazil−7.0 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Wednesday 17 June
  • Argentina vs Algeriaodds pending
  • Austria vs Jordanodds pending
  • Portugal vs DR Congoodds pending
  • England vs Croatiaodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Tue 16 Jun, 01:00 UTC· InglewoodFinalGroup G
Iran

2–2

New Zealand
IRN
2–2
NZLFT
Tue 16 Jun, 19:00 UTC· East RutherfordFinal
Ghana vs Panama
odds pending
Group I
France

3–1

Senegal
FRA
3–1
SENFT
Tue 16 Jun, 22:00 UTC· FoxboroughFinalGroup I
Iraq

1–4

Norway
IRQ
1–4
NORFT