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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Monday 15 June

Recap

4 matches · Group stage

← Sunday 14 JuneTuesday 16 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Spain and Cape Verde drew 0-0. The model gave the draw 20%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Sweden5–1TunisiaCalled itSweden 34.9%
  • Spain0–0Cape VerdeMissedhad Spain at 70.9%
  • Belgium1–1EgyptMissedhad Belgium at 46.9%
  • Saudi Arabia1–1UruguayMissedhad Uruguay at 49.2%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+89.0 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−9.6 pts
  • Brazil−7.1 pts
  • France−6.4 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Tuesday 16 June
  • Iran vs New Zealandodds pending
  • France vs Senegalodds pending
  • Iraq vs Norwayodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Mon 15 Jun, 02:00 UTC· GuadalupeFinalGroup F
Sweden

5–1

Tunisia
SWE
5–1
TUNFT
Mon 15 Jun, 16:00 UTC· AtlantaFinal
Group H
Spain

0–0

Cape Verde
ESP
0–0
CPVFT
Mon 15 Jun, 19:00 UTC· SeattleFinalGroup G
Belgium

1–1

Egypt
BEL
1–1
EGYFT
Mon 15 Jun, 22:00 UTC· Miami GardensFinalGroup H
Saudi Arabia

1–1

Uruguay
KSA
1–1
URUFT