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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group F · Match 12

SwedenvsTunisia

5 – 1Full time

Mon 15 Jun, 02:00 UTC your time · Sun 14 Jun, 20:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe, Mexico

Final result

full time
Sweden5 – 1Tunisia

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Sweden
  • Yasin Ayari2 goals
  • Alexander Isakgoal
  • Mattias Svanberggoal
  • Viktor Gyökeresgoal
Tunisia
  • Omar Rekikgoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-0
    14.4%
  • 1-1
    14.0%
  • 1-0
    13.6%
  • 0-1
    13.1%
  • 2-0
    7.0%
  • 2-1
    6.8%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 43%Possession57%
  • 8Shots3
  • 4On target1
  • 2Corners2
  • 6Fouls5
  • 3Offsides4

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Sweden1 draw1 Tunisia

4 meetings · goals 3–2

  • 2003-02-12friendly0–1Tunisia
  • 1999-02-10friendly1–0Sweden
  • 1992-04-22friendly1–0Sweden
  • 1976-02-28friendly1–1draw
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.