WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group F · Match 12

SwedenvsTunisia

your time · Sun 14 Jun, 20:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe, Mexico

Model prediction

win / draw / win
34.9% Sweden32.0% draw33.1% Tunisia

Expected goals 1.00 – 0.97

Even

What's driving this: The model rates these sides near-level — closer to a coin-flip.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Sweden 1745.4 · Tunisia 1728.6
    Sweden +17 · negligible
  • FIFA ranking
    Sweden #38 · Tunisia #44
  • Recent form
    Sweden 2W-1D-3L · Tunisia 3W-2D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Sweden
WWDLLL
Tunisia
DDLWWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.