WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group I · Match 17

FrancevsSenegal

your time · Tue 16 Jun, 15:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
46.9% France28.3% draw24.8% Senegal

Expected goals 1.37 – 0.92

Rating

What's driving this: France hold a decisive rating edge — +193 Elo over Senegal.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    France 2095 · Senegal 1902.5
    France +193 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    France #1 · Senegal #14
  • Recent form
    France 5W-1D-0L · Senegal 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
France
WWDWWW
Senegal
LWWWWD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.